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Hammarby vs BK Häcken

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.43 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score2–1HammarbyBK Häcken
Expected goals3.43Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de67% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 24% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes BK Häcken win (20.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.3%1.26
Más de 67% · Menos de 33%Goals 2.5Más de67%1.49
Sí 60% · No 40%Ambos equipos marcan60%1.67
3.43 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Hammarby win56%1.79
Empate24%4.17
BK Häcken win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hammarby2.36

Local share of expected goals 68.8%

Total expected goals3.43Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 67% · Menos de 33%

BK Häcken1.07

Visitante share of expected goals 31.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Hammarby

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

BK Häcken

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.36
Expected goals
1.07
HammarbyBK Häcken
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hammarby signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BK Häcken signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hammarby vs BK Häcken FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hammarby ganada 56%,Empate 24%,BK Häcken ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Más de 2.5 67% · Current selection Más de