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Hammarby vs BK Hacken

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw24%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1HammarbyBK Hacken
Expected goals3.43Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 24% / 21%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes BK Hacken win (20.7%)Double chance1X79.3%1.26
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.43 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Hammarby win56%1.79
Draw24%4.17
BK Hacken win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hammarby2.36

Home share of expected goals 68.8%

Total expected goals3.43Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

BK Hacken1.07

Away share of expected goals 31.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hammarby

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

BK Hacken

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.36
Expected goals
1.07
HammarbyBK Hacken
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hammarby signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BK Hacken signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hammarby vs BK Hacken FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hammarby win 56%,Draw 24%,BK Hacken win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over