Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 26% / 21%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Degerfors win (21%)Double chance1X79%1.27
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Malmo FF win53%1.89
Draw26%3.85
Degerfors win21%4.76
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 68.9%
Total expected goals2.86Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%
Away share of expected goals 31.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchMalmo FF
WLDWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchDegerfors
LLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
21%10
Points from supplied form
01.97
Expected goals
0.89Malmo FFDegerfors
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Malmo FF vs Degerfors FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Malmo FF win 53%，Draw 26%，Degerfors win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over。