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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Match ·

Malmo FF vs Degerfors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile65%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur14%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Malmo FFDegerfors
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
65% / 22% / 14%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Degerfors win (13.6%)Double chance1X86.4%1.16
Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%Goals 2.5Plus de54%1.85
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.85 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDegerfors winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malmo FF win65%1.541.4465%0.0 pp
Nul22%4.554.3321.6%+0.4 pp
Degerfors win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malmo FF1.95

Domicile share of expected goals 68.4%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%

Degerfors0.90

Extérieur share of expected goals 31.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Malmo FF

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Degerfors

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gagné probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
0
1.95
Expected goals
0.90
Malmo FFDegerfors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malmo FF signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Degerfors signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Malmo FF vs Degerfors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malmo FF victoire 65%,Nul 22%,Degerfors victoire 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Plus de 2.5 54% · Current selection Plus de