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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Partita ·

Malmo FF vs Degerfors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa65%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite14%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Malmo FFDegerfors
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
65% / 22% / 14%Esito partitaVittoria casa65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Degerfors win (13.6%)Doppia Chance1X86.4%1.16
Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%Goals 2.5Sopra54%1.85
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.85 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDegerfors winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malmo FF win65%1.541.4465%0.0 pp
Pareggio22%4.554.3321.6%+0.4 pp
Degerfors win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malmo FF1.95

Casa share of expected goals 68.4%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%

Degerfors0.90

Trasferta share of expected goals 31.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Malmo FF

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Degerfors

0.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punti0

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vinta probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
0
1.95
Expected goals
0.90
Malmo FFDegerfors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malmo FF signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Degerfors signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Malmo FF vs Degerfors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malmo FF vinta 65%,Pareggio 22%,Degerfors vinta 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Sopra 2.5 54% · Current selection Sopra