Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 25% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Doppia Chance1275.4%1.33
Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%Goals 2.5Sopra56%1.79
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Penarol (W) win36%2.78
Pareggio25%4.00
Liverpool Montevideo (F) win39%2.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 49%
Total expected goals2.94Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%
Trasferta share of expected goals 51%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchPenarol (W)
WWWWW
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15
SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchLiverpool Montevideo (F)
WLLWL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%15
Points from supplied form
61.44
Expected goals
1.50Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (F)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (F) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol (W) vinta 36%，Pareggio 25%，Liverpool Montevideo (F) vinta 39%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.94 · Sopra 2.5 56% · Current selection Sopra。