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URY Uruguay League Women · Final ·

Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (F)

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante39%
Baseline forecastVictoria visitanteTier C · 39% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (F)
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 25% / 39%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Doble Oportunidad1275.4%1.33
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Penarol (W) win36%2.78
Empate25%4.00
Liverpool Montevideo (F) win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol (W)1.44

Local share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Liverpool Montevideo (F)1.50

Visitante share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Penarol (W)

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo (F)

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
39%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.44
Expected goals
1.50
Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol (W) signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo (F) signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol (W) ganada 36%,Empate 25%,Liverpool Montevideo (F) ganada 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de