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URY Uruguay League Women · Final ·

Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (F)

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–1Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți39%
Baseline forecastVictorie oaspețiTier C · 39% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (F)
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 25% / 39%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Șansă dublă1275.4%1.33
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 59% · Nu 41%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Penarol (W) win36%2.78
Egal25%4.00
Liverpool Montevideo (F) win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol (W)1.44

Gazde share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Liverpool Montevideo (F)1.50

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 59% · Nu 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Penarol (W)

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo (F)

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
39%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.44
Expected goals
1.50
Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol (W) signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo (F) signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol (W) câștig 36%,Egal 25%,Liverpool Montevideo (F) câștig 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste