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URY Uruguay League Women · Final ·

Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (D)

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score2–1Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger36%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger39%
Baseline forecastBortasegerTier C · 39% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (D)
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
36% / 25% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dubbelchans1275.4%1.33
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Penarol (W) win36%2.78
Oavgjort25%4.00
Liverpool Montevideo (D) win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol (W)1.44

Hemma share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Liverpool Montevideo (D)1.50

Borta share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Penarol (W)

3.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poäng15

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo (D)

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.44
Expected goals
1.50
Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol (W) signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo (D) signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol (W) vunnen 36%,Oavgjort 25%,Liverpool Montevideo (D) vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över