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URY Uruguay League Women · Final ·

Penarol (W) vs Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–1Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина36%
Равен25%
Победа за госта39%
Baseline forecastПобеда за гостаTier C · 39% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Penarol (W)Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
36% / 25% / 39%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Двоен шанс1275.4%1.33
Над 56% · Под 44%Goals 2.5Над56%1.79
Да 59% · Не 41%И двата отбора да отбележатДа59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Penarol (W) win36%2.78
Равен25%4.00
Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol (W)1.44

Домакин share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 56% · Под 44%

Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)1.50

Гост share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Не 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Penarol (W)

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
39%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.44
Expected goals
1.50
Penarol (W)Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol (W) signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Penarol (W) vs Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol (W) печеливш 36%,Равен 25%,Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) печеливш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Над 2.5 56% · Current selection Над