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PRT Portogallo - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

UD da Serra vs Alverca B

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–1Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD da SerraAlverca B
Expected goals3.38Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 29% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Doppia Chance1270.8%1.41
Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%Goals 2.5Sopra66%1.52
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
3.38 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAlverca B winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Alverca B win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD da Serra2.40

Casa share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals3.38Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%

Alverca B0.98

Trasferta share of expected goals 29%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Alverca B

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.40
Expected goals
0.98
UD da SerraAlverca B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD da Serra signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alverca B signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UD da Serra vs Alverca B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD da Serra vinta 41%,Pareggio 29%,Alverca B vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Sopra 2.5 66% · Current selection Sopra