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PRT Portugalia - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

UD da Serra vs Alverca B

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–1Prognoza 2–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy41%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy41% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD da SerraAlverca B
Expected goals3.38Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej66% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
41% / 29% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Podwójna szansa1270.8%1.41
Powyżej 66% · Poniżej 34%Goals 2.5Powyżej66%1.52
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
3.38 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAlverca B winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Remis29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Alverca B win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD da Serra2.40

Gospodarze share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals3.38Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 66% · Poniżej 34%

Alverca B0.98

Goście share of expected goals 29%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Alverca B

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.40
Expected goals
0.98
UD da SerraAlverca B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD da Serra signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alverca B signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UD da Serra vs Alverca B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD da Serra wygrana 41%,Remis 29%,Alverca B wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Powyżej 2.5 66% · Current selection Powyżej