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PRT Португалия - Национальный чемпионат · Final ·

УД да Серра vs Алверка B

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–1Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score2–1УД да СерраАлверка B
Expected goals3.38Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 29% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Двойной шанс1270.8%1.41
Больше 66% · Меньше 34%Goals 2.5Больше66%1.52
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
3.38 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapАлверка B winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
УД да Серра win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Ничья29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Алверка B win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

УД да Серра2.40

Хозяева share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals3.38Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 66% · Меньше 34%

Алверка B0.98

Гости share of expected goals 29%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

УД да Серра

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Алверка B

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.40
Expected goals
0.98
УД да СерраАлверка B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01УД да Серра signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алверка B signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

УД да Серра vs Алверка B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

УД да Серра выигрыш 41%,Ничья 29%,Алверка B выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · ТБ 2.5 66% · Current selection Больше