Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
41% / 29% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Double chance1270.8%1.41
Plus de 66% · Moins de 34%Goals 2.5Plus de66%1.52
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
3.38 total expected goalsScore exact2–1——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAlverca B winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Nul29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Alverca B win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 71%
Total expected goals3.38Ouverture
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 66% · Moins de 34%
Extérieur share of expected goals 29%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileOuverture
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchUD da Serra
WLWLD
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchAlverca B
WWLWW
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%7
Points from supplied form
122.40
Expected goals
0.98UD da SerraAlverca B
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
UD da Serra vs Alverca B FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
UD da Serra victoire 41%，Nul 29%，Alverca B victoire 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.38 · Plus de 2.5 66% · Current selection Plus de。