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PRT Πορτογαλία - Καμπεονάτο Νασιονάλ · Final ·

UD da Serra vs Αλβέρκα Β'

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score2–1Πρόβλεψη 2–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου41%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου41% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD da SerraΑλβέρκα Β'
Expected goals3.38Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
41% / 29% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1270.8%1.41
Άνω 66% · Κάτω 34%Goals 2.5Άνω66%1.52
Ναι 57% · Όχι 43%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57%1.75
3.38 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapΑλβέρκα Β' winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Αλβέρκα Β' win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD da Serra2.40

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals3.38Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 66% · Κάτω 34%

Αλβέρκα Β'0.98

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 29%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 57% · Όχι 43%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αλβέρκα Β'

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.40
Expected goals
0.98
UD da SerraΑλβέρκα Β'
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD da Serra signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αλβέρκα Β' signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UD da Serra vs Αλβέρκα Β' FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD da Serra νίκη 41%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Αλβέρκα Β' νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Άνω 2.5 66% · Current selection Άνω