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PRT Πορτογαλία - Καμπεονάτο Νασιονάλ · Αγώνας ·

Φατιμά vs Malveira

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.93 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου33%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου36%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΦατιμάMalveira
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω69% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
33% / 30% / 36%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1269.7%1.43
Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%Goals 2.5Κάτω69%1.45
Ναι 36% · Όχι 64%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι64%1.56
1.93 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Φατιμά win33%3.032.8032.2%+0.8 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Malveira win36%2.782.3837.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Φατιμά1.24

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%

Malveira0.69

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 36% · Όχι 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Φατιμά

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
36%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.24
Expected goals
0.69
ΦατιμάMalveira
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Φατιμά signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malveira signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Φατιμά vs Malveira FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Φατιμά νίκη 33%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Malveira νίκη 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Άνω 2.5 31% · Current selection Κάτω