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PRT Portogallo - Campeonato Nacional · Partita ·

CD Fatima vs Malveira

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.93 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa33%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite36%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite36% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD FatimaMalveira
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto69% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
33% / 30% / 36%Esito partitaVittoria ospite36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.3%)Doppia Chance1269.7%1.43
Sopra 31% · Sotto 69%Goals 2.5Sotto69%1.45
Sì 36% · No 64%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64%1.56
1.93 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Fatima win33%3.032.8032.2%+0.8 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Malveira win36%2.782.3837.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Fatima1.24

Casa share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 31% · Sotto 69%

Malveira0.69

Trasferta share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

CD Fatima

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vinta probability excluding draw
36%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.24
Expected goals
0.69
CD FatimaMalveira
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Fatima signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malveira signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

CD Fatima vs Malveira FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Fatima vinta 33%,Pareggio 30%,Malveira vinta 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Sopra 2.5 31% · Current selection Sotto