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PRT ポルトガル 国内選手権 · 試合 ·

ファティマ vs マルベイラ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.93 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利33%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利36%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ファティママルベイラ
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー69% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
33% / 30% / 36%試合結果アウェイ勝利36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.3%)ダブルチャンス1269.7%1.43
オーバー 31% · アンダー 69%Goals 2.5アンダー69%1.45
はい 36% · いいえ 64%両チーム得点いいえ64%1.56
1.93 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapマルベイラ winDifference-1.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ファティマ win33%3.032.8032.2%+0.8 pp
引き分け30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
マルベイラ win36%2.782.3837.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ファティマ1.24

ホーム share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 31% · アンダー 69%

マルベイラ0.69

アウェイ share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 36% · いいえ 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ファティマ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

マルベイラ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
勝ち probability excluding draw
36%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.24
Expected goals
0.69
ファティママルベイラ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ファティマ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02マルベイラ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ファティマ vs マルベイラ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ファティマ 勝ち 33%,引き分け 30%,マルベイラ 勝ち 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · オーバー 2.5 31% · Current selection アンダー