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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Fatima vs Malveira

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score5–0Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier37%
Uavgjort30%
Borteseier32%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier37% selection probability
Projected score1–1FatimaMalveira
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
37% / 30% / 32%KampresultatHjemmeseier37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Dobbel sjanse1269.6%1.44
Over 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Ja 36% · Nei 64%Begge lag scorerNei64%1.56
1.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fatima win37%2.702.5036.2%+0.8 pp
Uavgjort30%3.333.0030.2%-0.2 pp
Malveira win32%3.132.7033.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fatima1.24

Hjemme share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 31% · Under 69%

Malveira0.70

Borte share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nei 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Fatima

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poeng2

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.24
Expected goals
0.70
FatimaMalveira
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fatima signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malveira signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Fatima vs Malveira FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fatima vunnet 37%,Uavgjort 30%,Malveira vunnet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Over 2.5 31% · Current selection Under