Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 26% / 21%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21%)Double chance1X79%1.27
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.8051.8%+1.2 pp
Draw26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Sporting Cristal win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.9%
Total expected goals2.69Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 30.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchUniversitario de Deportes
LWWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSporting Cristal
WLLDW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
21%10
Points from supplied form
71.88
Expected goals
0.81Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Universitario de Deportes win 53%，Draw 26%，Sporting Cristal win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。