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INT Peru Liga 1 · Zápas ·

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích53%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostů21%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více51% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
53% / 26% / 21%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21%)Dvojitá šance1X79%1.27
Více 51% · Méně 49%Goals 2.5Více51%1.96
Ano 48% · Ne 52%Oba týmy skórujíNe52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.8051.8%+1.2 pp
Remíza26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Sporting Cristal win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitario de Deportes1.88

Domácí share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 51% · Méně 49%

Sporting Cristal0.81

Hosté share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 48% · Ne 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Výhra probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.81
Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitario de Deportes signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitario de Deportes výhra 53%,Remíza 26%,Sporting Cristal výhra 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Více 2.5 51% · Current selection Více