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Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng53%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng21%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài51% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
53% / 26% / 21%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21%)Cơ hội kép1X79%1.27
Tài 51% · Xỉu 49%Goals 2.5Tài51%1.96
Có 48% · Không 52%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
8.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.8051.8%+1.2 pp
Hòa26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Sporting Cristal win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitario de Deportes1.88

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 51% · Xỉu 49%

Sporting Cristal0.81

Khách share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · Không 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Thắng probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.81
Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitario de Deportes signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitario de Deportes thắng 53%,Hòa 26%,Sporting Cristal thắng 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Tài 2.5 51% · Current selection Tài