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INT Peru Liga 1 · Матч ·

Университарио де Депортес vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Университарио де ДепортесSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 26% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21%)Двойной шанс1X79%1.27
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.71 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapУниверситарио де Депортес winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Университарио де Депортес win53%1.891.8051.8%+1.2 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Sporting Cristal win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Университарио де Депортес1.89

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.7%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Sporting Cristal0.82

Гости share of expected goals 30.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Университарио де Депортес

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.82
Университарио де ДепортесSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Университарио де Депортес signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Университарио де Депортес vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Университарио де Депортес выигрыш 53%,Ничья 26%,Sporting Cristal выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше