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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Fixture ·

Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win18%
Draw24%
Away win58%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win58% selection probability
Projected score1–2ZhetysuOrdabasy Shymkent
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
18% / 24% / 58%Match resultAway win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Zhetysu win (18%)Double chanceX282%1.22
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapZhetysu winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zhetysu win18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Ordabasy Shymkent win58%1.721.5558%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zhetysu0.97

Home share of expected goals 33.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Ordabasy Shymkent1.96

Away share of expected goals 66.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Zhetysu

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ordabasy Shymkent

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Win probability excluding draw
58%
1
Points from supplied form
9
0.97
Expected goals
1.96
ZhetysuOrdabasy Shymkent
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zhetysu signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ordabasy Shymkent signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zhetysu win 18%,Draw 24%,Ordabasy Shymkent win 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over