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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Maç ·

Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır20%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır56%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır56% selection probability
Projected score1–2ZhetysuOrdabasy Shymkent
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
20% / 24% / 56%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Zhetysu win (19.7%)Çifte ŞansX280.3%1.25
Üst 56% · Alt 44%Goals 2.5Üst56%1.79
Evet 54% · Hayır 46%Karşılıklı gol varEvet54%1.85
2.93 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
8.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zhetysu win20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Beraberlik24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Ordabasy Shymkent win56%1.791.6055.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zhetysu0.97

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 33.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 56% · Alt 44%

Ordabasy Shymkent1.96

Deplasman share of expected goals 66.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 54% · Hayır 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Zhetysu

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Ordabasy Shymkent

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalDeplasman won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
56%
1
Points from supplied form
9
0.97
Expected goals
1.96
ZhetysuOrdabasy Shymkent
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zhetysu signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ordabasy Shymkent signalDeplasman won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zhetysu kazanç 20%,Beraberlik 24%,Ordabasy Shymkent kazanç 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · 2.5 Üst 56% · Current selection Üst