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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Мач ·

Zhetysu vs Ордабаси Шимкент

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина19%
Равен24%
Победа за госта57%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта57% selection probability
Projected score1–2ZhetysuОрдабаси Шимкент
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
19% / 24% / 57%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Zhetysu win (18.8%)Двоен шансX281.2%1.23
Над 56% · Под 44%Goals 2.5Над56%1.79
Да 54% · Не 46%И двата отбора да отбележатДа54%1.85
2.93 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
8.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapОрдабаси Шимкент winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zhetysu win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Равен24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Ордабаси Шимкент win57%1.751.5757.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zhetysu0.97

Домакин share of expected goals 33.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 56% · Под 44%

Ордабаси Шимкент1.96

Гост share of expected goals 66.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 54% · Не 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Zhetysu

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ордабаси Шимкент

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
57%
1
Points from supplied form
9
0.97
Expected goals
1.96
ZhetysuОрдабаси Шимкент
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zhetysu signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ордабаси Шимкент signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Zhetysu vs Ордабаси Шимкент FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zhetysu печеливш 19%,Равен 24%,Ордабаси Шимкент печеливш 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Над 2.5 56% · Current selection Над