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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Fixture ·

Necaxa (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–33.48 expected goals
Away form
Home win9%
Draw15%
Away win76%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win76% selection probability
Projected score1–3Necaxa (W)Unam Pumas (W)
Expected goals3.48Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
9% / 15% / 76%Match resultAway win76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Necaxa (W) win (9.1%)Double chanceX290.9%1.10
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
3.48 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Necaxa (W) win9%11.1110.009.1%-0.1 pp
Draw15%6.676.0015.2%-0.2 pp
Unam Pumas (W) win76%1.321.2075.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa (W)0.83

Home share of expected goals 23.9%

Total expected goals3.48Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Unam Pumas (W)2.65

Away share of expected goals 76.1%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Necaxa (W)

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Unam Pumas (W)

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
9%
Win probability excluding draw
76%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
2.65
Necaxa (W)Unam Pumas (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unam Pumas (W) signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Necaxa (W) vs Unam Pumas (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa (W) win 9%,Draw 15%,Unam Pumas (W) win 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over