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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Match ·

Necaxa (D) vs Unam Pumas (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–33.47 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger6%
Oavgjort12%
Bortaseger81%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger81% selection probability
Projected score1–3Necaxa (D)Unam Pumas (W)
Expected goals3.47Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över67% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
6% / 12% / 81%MatchresultatBortaseger81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Necaxa (D) win (6.3%)DubbelchansX293.7%1.07
Över 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Över67%1.49
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
3.47 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapUnam Pumas (W) winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Necaxa (D) win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp
Oavgjort12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Unam Pumas (W) win81%1.231.1381.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa (D)0.82

Hemma share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals3.47Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 67% · Under 33%

Unam Pumas (W)2.65

Borta share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Necaxa (D)

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Unam Pumas (W)

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
6%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
81%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.82
Expected goals
2.65
Necaxa (D)Unam Pumas (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa (D) signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unam Pumas (W) signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Necaxa (D) vs Unam Pumas (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa (D) vunnen 6%,Oavgjort 12%,Unam Pumas (W) vunnen 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Över 2.5 67% · Current selection Över