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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Kamp ·

Necaxa (K) vs Unam Pumas (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–33.47 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr6%
Uafgjort12%
Udesejr81%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr81% selection probability
Projected score1–3Necaxa (K)Unam Pumas (W)
Expected goals3.47Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
6% / 12% / 81%KampresultatUdesejr81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Necaxa (K) win (6.3%)DobbeltchanceX293.7%1.07
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Begge hold scorerJa52%1.92
3.47 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapUnam Pumas (W) winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Necaxa (K) win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp
Uafgjort12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Unam Pumas (W) win81%1.231.1381.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa (K)0.82

Hjemme share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals3.47Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Unam Pumas (W)2.65

Ude share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Necaxa (K)

0.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Point0

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Unam Pumas (W)

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
6%
Vundet probability excluding draw
81%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.82
Expected goals
2.65
Necaxa (K)Unam Pumas (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa (K) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unam Pumas (W) signalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Necaxa (K) vs Unam Pumas (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa (K) vundet 6%,Uafgjort 12%,Unam Pumas (W) vundet 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over