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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Match ·

Necaxa (F) vs Unam Pumas (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–33.47 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile6%
Nul12%
Victoire à l’extérieur81%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur81% selection probability
Projected score1–3Necaxa (F)Unam Pumas (W)
Expected goals3.47Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
6% / 12% / 81%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Necaxa (F) win (6.3%)Double chanceX293.7%1.07
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
3.47 total expected goalsScore exact1–3
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapUnam Pumas (W) winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Necaxa (F) win6%16.6715.006.1%-0.1 pp
Nul12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Unam Pumas (W) win81%1.231.1381.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa (F)0.82

Domicile share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals3.47Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Unam Pumas (W)2.65

Extérieur share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Necaxa (F)

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Unam Pumas (W)

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
6%
Gagné probability excluding draw
81%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.82
Expected goals
2.65
Necaxa (F)Unam Pumas (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa (F) signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unam Pumas (W) signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Necaxa (F) vs Unam Pumas (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa (F) victoire 6%,Nul 12%,Unam Pumas (W) victoire 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de