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SWE Sweden 1.div Södra · Fixture ·

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Away form
Home win23%
Draw24%
Away win53%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Skövde AIKLunds BK
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 24% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Skövde AIK win (23.4%)Double chanceX276.6%1.31
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSkövde AIK winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Skövde AIK win23%4.353.8023.6%-0.6 pp
Draw24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Lunds BK win53%1.891.7052.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skövde AIK0.86

Home share of expected goals 36.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Lunds BK1.51

Away share of expected goals 63.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Skövde AIK

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lunds BK

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
53%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.86
Expected goals
1.51
Skövde AIKLunds BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skövde AIK signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lunds BK signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skövde AIK win 23%,Draw 24%,Lunds BK win 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under