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SWE Sverige - Ettan Södra · Match ·

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger23%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger53%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Skövde AIKLunds BK
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
23% / 24% / 53%MatchresultatBortaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Skövde AIK win (23.4%)DubbelchansX276.6%1.31
Över 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSkövde AIK winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Skövde AIK win23%4.353.8023.6%-0.6 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Lunds BK win53%1.891.7052.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skövde AIK0.86

Hemma share of expected goals 36.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 42% · Under 58%

Lunds BK1.51

Borta share of expected goals 63.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Skövde AIK

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lunds BK

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
53%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.86
Expected goals
1.51
Skövde AIKLunds BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skövde AIK signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lunds BK signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skövde AIK vunnen 23%,Oavgjort 24%,Lunds BK vunnen 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Över 2.5 42% · Current selection Under