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SWE Suède - 1.div Södra · Match ·

Skovde AIK vs Lunds BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile21%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur55%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur55% selection probability
Projected score1–2Skovde AIKLunds BK
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
21% / 23% / 55%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Skovde AIK win (21.4%)Double chanceX278.6%1.27
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 45% · Non 55%Les deux équipes marquentNon55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapLunds BK winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Skovde AIK win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Nul23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Lunds BK win55%1.821.6255.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skovde AIK0.86

Domicile share of expected goals 36.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Lunds BK1.51

Extérieur share of expected goals 63.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 45% · Non 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Skovde AIK

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Lunds BK

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Gagné probability excluding draw
55%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.86
Expected goals
1.51
Skovde AIKLunds BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skovde AIK signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lunds BK signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Skovde AIK vs Lunds BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skovde AIK victoire 21%,Nul 23%,Lunds BK victoire 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de