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SWE Svezia - 1ª Divisione Södra · Partita ·

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa25%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite46%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Skövde AIKLunds BK
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
25% / 29% / 46%Esito partitaVittoria ospite46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Skövde AIK win (24.8%)Doppia ChanceX275.2%1.33
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Skövde AIK win25%4.00
Pareggio29%3.45
Lunds BK win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skövde AIK0.86

Casa share of expected goals 36.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

Lunds BK1.51

Trasferta share of expected goals 63.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Skövde AIK

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lunds BK

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vinta probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
6
0.86
Expected goals
1.51
Skövde AIKLunds BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skövde AIK signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lunds BK signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skövde AIK vinta 25%,Pareggio 29%,Lunds BK vinta 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto