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SWE Sweden 1.div Södra · Fixture ·

Kristianstad FC vs Ängelholms FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw26%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Kristianstad FCÄngelholms FF
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 26% / 36%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapKristianstad FC winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kristianstad FC win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Ängelholms FF win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kristianstad FC1.13

Home share of expected goals 46.5%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Ängelholms FF1.30

Away share of expected goals 53.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Kristianstad FC

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ängelholms FF

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.13
Expected goals
1.30
Kristianstad FCÄngelholms FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kristianstad FC signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ängelholms FF signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Kristianstad FC vs Ängelholms FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kristianstad FC win 38%,Draw 26%,Ängelholms FF win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under