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SWE Sweden 1.div Södra · Fixture ·

Tvååkers IF vs Atvidabergs FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw28%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–2Tvååkers IFAtvidabergs FF
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 28% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Tvååkers IF win31%3.23
Draw28%3.57
Atvidabergs FF win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tvååkers IF1.29

Home share of expected goals 43.9%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Atvidabergs FF1.65

Away share of expected goals 56.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tvååkers IF

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Atvidabergs FF

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.29
Expected goals
1.65
Tvååkers IFAtvidabergs FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tvååkers IF signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atvidabergs FF signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Tvååkers IF vs Atvidabergs FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tvååkers IF win 31%,Draw 28%,Atvidabergs FF win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over