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SWE Sweden 1.div Södra · Fixture ·

Eskilsminne IF vs FC Rosengård 1917

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.54 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw26%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Eskilsminne IFFC Rosengård 1917
Expected goals3.54Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 26% / 32%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.54 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Eskilsminne IF win42%2.38
Draw26%3.85
FC Rosengård 1917 win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Eskilsminne IF1.97

Home share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.54Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

FC Rosengård 19171.57

Away share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Eskilsminne IF

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Rosengård 1917

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.97
Expected goals
1.57
Eskilsminne IFFC Rosengård 1917
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Eskilsminne IF signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Rosengård 1917 signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Eskilsminne IF vs FC Rosengård 1917 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Eskilsminne IF win 42%,Draw 26%,FC Rosengård 1917 win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.54 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over