Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 24% / 15%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Istra 1961 win (14.9%)Double chance1X85.1%1.18
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HNK Rijeka win62%1.611.4462.5%-0.5 pp
Draw24%4.173.9023.1%+0.9 pp
Istra 1961 win15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 63.5%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%
Away share of expected goals 36.5%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchHNK Rijeka
LLDWW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchIstra 1961
WDLDW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
62%
Win probability excluding draw
15%7
Points from supplied form
81.39
Expected goals
0.80HNK RijekaIstra 1961
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 62% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
HNK Rijeka win 62%，Draw 24%，Istra 1961 win 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under。