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HRV Croatia - HNL · Final ·

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score3–2Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde62%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 62% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde62% selection probability
Projected score1–1HNK RijekaIstra 1961
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
62% / 24% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Istra 1961 win (14.9%)Șansă dublă1X85.1%1.18
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 42% · Nu 58%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58%1.72
2.19 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HNK Rijeka win62%1.611.4462.5%-0.5 pp
Egal24%4.173.9023.1%+0.9 pp
Istra 1961 win15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HNK Rijeka1.39

Gazde share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%

Istra 19610.80

Oaspeți share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 42% · Nu 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Istra 1961

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
0.80
HNK RijekaIstra 1961
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HNK Rijeka signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Istra 1961 signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HNK Rijeka câștig 62%,Egal 24%,Istra 1961 câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub