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HRV Kroatië - HNL · Final ·

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–2Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst62%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 62% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst62% selection probability
Projected score1–1HNK RijekaIstra 1961
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
62% / 24% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Istra 1961 win (14.9%)Dubbele Kans1X85.1%1.18
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 42% · Nee 58%Beide teams scorenNee58%1.72
2.19 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HNK Rijeka win62%1.611.4462.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.9023.1%+0.9 pp
Istra 1961 win15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HNK Rijeka1.39

Thuis share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

Istra 19610.80

Uit share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nee 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Istra 1961

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
0.80
HNK RijekaIstra 1961
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HNK Rijeka signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Istra 1961 signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HNK Rijeka gewonnen 62%,Gelijkspel 24%,Istra 1961 gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder