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HRV Хърватия - ХНЛ · Final ·

Риека vs Истра 1961

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score3–2Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина62%
Равен24%
Победа за госта15%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 62% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина62% selection probability
Projected score1–1РиекаИстра 1961
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
62% / 24% / 15%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Истра 1961 win (14.9%)Двоен шанс1X85.1%1.18
Над 38% · Под 62%Goals 2.5Под62%1.61
Да 42% · Не 58%И двата отбора да отбележатНе58%1.72
2.19 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Риека win62%1.611.4462.5%-0.5 pp
Равен24%4.173.9023.1%+0.9 pp
Истра 1961 win15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Риека1.39

Домакин share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 38% · Под 62%

Истра 19610.80

Гост share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 42% · Не 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Риека

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Истра 1961

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
0.80
РиекаИстра 1961
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Риека signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Истра 1961 signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Риека vs Истра 1961 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Риека печеливш 62%,Равен 24%,Истра 1961 печеливш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Над 2.5 38% · Current selection Под