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BGR България - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Септември София vs ЦСКА 1948

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.95 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина13%
Равен23%
Победа за госта64%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта64% selection probability
Projected score1–2Септември СофияЦСКА 1948
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
13% / 23% / 64%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Септември София win (13.2%)Двоен шансX286.8%1.15
Над 57% · Под 43%Goals 2.5Над57%1.75
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.95 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapЦСКА 1948 winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Септември София win13%7.697.0013.5%-0.5 pp
Равен23%4.354.0023.6%-0.6 pp
ЦСКА 1948 win64%1.561.5062.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Септември София0.70

Домакин share of expected goals 23.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 57% · Под 43%

ЦСКА 19482.25

Гост share of expected goals 76.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Септември София

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ЦСКА 1948

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
64%
4
Points from supplied form
13
0.70
Expected goals
2.25
Септември СофияЦСКА 1948
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Септември София signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЦСКА 1948 signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Септември София vs ЦСКА 1948 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Септември София печеливш 13%,Равен 23%,ЦСКА 1948 печеливш 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Над 2.5 57% · Current selection Над