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BGR България - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Локомотив София vs ЦСКА София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина22%
Равен27%
Победа за госта51%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Локомотив СофияЦСКА София
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
22% / 27% / 51%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Локомотив София win (21.9%)Двоен шансX278.1%1.28
Над 53% · Под 47%Goals 2.5Над53%1.89
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.81 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Локомотив София win22%4.55
Равен27%3.70
ЦСКА София win51%1.96

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Локомотив София0.91

Домакин share of expected goals 32.4%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 53% · Под 47%

ЦСКА София1.90

Гост share of expected goals 67.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Локомотив София

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ЦСКА София

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
51%
2
Points from supplied form
9
0.91
Expected goals
1.90
Локомотив СофияЦСКА София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Локомотив София signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЦСКА София signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Локомотив София vs ЦСКА София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Локомотив София печеливш 22%,Равен 27%,ЦСКА София печеливш 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Над 2.5 53% · Current selection Над