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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Матч ·

Локомотив 1929 София vs ЦСКА София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев22%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей51%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Локомотив 1929 СофияЦСКА София
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
22% / 27% / 51%Исход матчаПобеда гостей51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Локомотив 1929 София win (21.9%)Двойной шансX278.1%1.28
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.81 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Локомотив 1929 София win22%4.55
Ничья27%3.70
ЦСКА София win51%1.96

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Локомотив 1929 София0.91

Хозяева share of expected goals 32.4%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

ЦСКА София1.90

Гости share of expected goals 67.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Локомотив 1929 София

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ЦСКА София

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalГости won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
51%
2
Points from supplied form
9
0.91
Expected goals
1.90
Локомотив 1929 СофияЦСКА София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Локомотив 1929 София signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЦСКА София signalГости won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Локомотив 1929 София vs ЦСКА София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Локомотив 1929 София выигрыш 22%,Ничья 27%,ЦСКА София выигрыш 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше