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BGR Bulgarien - 1. Liga · Spiel ·

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs ZSKA Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg22%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg51%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Lokomotiv 1929 SofiaZSKA Sofia
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
22% / 27% / 51%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win (21.9%)Doppelte ChanceX278.1%1.28
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.81 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win22%4.55
Unentschieden27%3.70
ZSKA Sofia win51%1.96

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia0.91

Heim share of expected goals 32.4%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

ZSKA Sofia1.90

Auswärts share of expected goals 67.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

ZSKA Sofia

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalAuswärts won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
51%
2
Points from supplied form
9
0.91
Expected goals
1.90
Lokomotiv 1929 SofiaZSKA Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ZSKA Sofia signalAuswärts won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs ZSKA Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Gewinn 22%,Unentschieden 27%,ZSKA Sofia Gewinn 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über