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SCO Scotland Premiership · Round 1 ·

Rangers vs Hibernian

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1RangersHibernian
Expected goals3.11Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hibernian win (24.5%)Double chance1X75.5%1.32
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Rangers win50%2.00
Draw26%3.85
Hibernian win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rangers2.00

Home share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals3.11Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Hibernian1.11

Away share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rangers

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hibernian

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
9
2.00
Expected goals
1.11
RangersHibernian
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rangers signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hibernian signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Rangers vs Hibernian FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rangers win 50%,Draw 26%,Hibernian win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over