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SCO Schotland - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Rangers vs Hibernian

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst50%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst50% selection probability
Projected score2–1RangersHibernian
Expected goals3.11Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 26% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hibernian win (24.5%)Dubbele Kans1X75.5%1.32
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Rangers win50%2.00
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Hibernian win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rangers2.00

Thuis share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals3.11Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Hibernian1.11

Uit share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Rangers

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hibernian

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
9
2.00
Expected goals
1.11
RangersHibernian
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rangers signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hibernian signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Rangers vs Hibernian FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rangers gewonnen 50%,Gelijkspel 26%,Hibernian gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven