Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
75% / 16% / 10%Match resultHome win75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haverfordwest win (9.7%)Double chance1X90.3%1.11
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
3.08 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapThe New Saints winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
The New Saints win75%1.331.2074.5%+0.5 pp
Draw16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp
Haverfordwest win10%10.009.009.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 79.2%
Total expected goals3.08Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 20.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchThe New Saints
DLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchHaverfordwest
LLDWW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
75%
Win probability excluding draw
10%7
Points from supplied form
72.44
Expected goals
0.64The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
The New Saints vs Haverfordwest FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 75% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
The New Saints win 75%，Draw 16%，Haverfordwest win 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。