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WAL Уэльс - Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Нью-Сейнтс vs Хаверфордуэст

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев75%
Ничья16%
Победа гостей10%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев75% selection probability
Projected score2–1Нью-СейнтсХаверфордуэст
Expected goals3.08Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
75% / 16% / 10%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Хаверфордуэст win (9.7%)Двойной шанс1X90.3%1.11
Больше 59% · Меньше 41%Goals 2.5Больше59%1.69
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
3.08 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapНью-Сейнтс winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нью-Сейнтс win75%1.331.2074.5%+0.5 pp
Ничья16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp
Хаверфордуэст win10%10.009.009.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нью-Сейнтс2.44

Хозяева share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 59% · Меньше 41%

Хаверфордуэст0.64

Гости share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Нью-Сейнтс

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хаверфордуэст

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
Нью-СейнтсХаверфордуэст
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нью-Сейнтс signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хаверфордуэст signalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Нью-Сейнтс vs Хаверфордуэст FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нью-Сейнтс выигрыш 75%,Ничья 16%,Хаверфордуэст выигрыш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · ТБ 2.5 59% · Current selection Больше