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WAL País de Gales - Premier League · Partida ·

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa75%
Empate16%
Vitória visitante10%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa75% selection probability
Projected score2–1The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Expected goals3.08Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
75% / 16% / 10%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haverfordwest win (9.7%)Dupla Chance1X90.3%1.11
Acima 59% · Abaixo 41%Goals 2.5Acima59%1.69
Sim 44% · Não 56%Ambas as equipes marcamNão56%1.79
3.08 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapThe New Saints winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
The New Saints win75%1.331.2074.5%+0.5 pp
Empate16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp
Haverfordwest win10%10.009.009.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

The New Saints2.44

Mandante share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 59% · Abaixo 41%

Haverfordwest0.64

Visitante share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 44% · Não 56%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

The New Saints

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Haverfordwest

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01The New Saints signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Haverfordwest signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

The New Saints ganhou 75%,Empate 16%,Haverfordwest ganhou 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Acima 2.5 59% · Current selection Acima